Thank you for the information and with time I'll digest it but I have a real simple question. Not knowing what unknown lurks below the waves of our tiny slice of the ocean then how does one know how much change needed to dilute these issues faster than they are produced within? . . .
You're welcome! FWIW, it's pretty obvious to me reef ecosystems are incredibly complex and way beyond the ability of any single person to grasp all the nuances. There are hundreds if not thousands of researchers trying to tease out all that's going on. I get multiple notifications everyday from google scholar on new research and it's impossible to keep up with all of it. To quote Solomon, "of books there is no end and learning is a weariness of the soul". You are quite correct, we CAN NOT quantify what is happening in our systems. We are dealing with thousands of species and genotypes and varieties that are all interacting with each other from viruses up to complex organisms. Some are benficial, some are detrimental and there's a lot in between. It's an impossible equation. But I'm going to need more than the inability for us to test to dismiss the research showing excess labile DOC in a reef system causes problems.
In light of what we understand about DOC and microbial processes it seems pretty obvious to me water changes are essential. Coral, algae and sponges are promoting different types of microbes in water column. Doing a water change reduces ALL of them, hydrophyllic as well as hydrophobic. Reducing them AND reducing algae should shift growth to species preferable for corals. Sponges are certainly doing their part to recycle DOC but as they process DOC from corals differently than DOC from algae and are implicated in phase shifts from corals to algae dominate reefs they are a double edged sword. Considering microbial populations can be very dynamic and species and numbers are not easily tested for it seems smaller more frequent water changes are a better way to maintain stability.
I'm glad you mentioned PaulB, his methodology seems to fit nicely with the research I've seen. His infrequent water changes are pointed out sometimes by proponent's arguing for less frequent water changes. But what is usually over looked is what is happening with his other maintenance practices. Regular use of a DE filter goes a long way to reducing the total microbial counts letting the system restore equilibrium. He also regularly adds natural sea water and muck from tidepools, reintroducing microbial diversity we know is lost over time.